Bookies in the satta bazzar or the illegal betting market, who accurately predicted a single party majority for BJP in May 2014's national polls, are predicting that state's two political parties the RDJ and JDU may not win more than 50 seats and 80 seats respectively in the 243 seat state assembly. It is the best case scenario of both these political parties, bookies. Odds on Nitish Kumar led JDU winning 80 seats are pegged at 6:1 while Lalu Yadav's RJD winning 50 seats is pegged at 6:1.
"Anti-incumbency is strongly against JDU, while people of Bihar have still not forgotten the poor state of law during RJD's tenure," said a bookie. Betting turnover in Bihar elections is expected to cross Rs 10,000 crore.
The BJP appears to be galloping ahead in Bihar polls like the bulls. Bookies say in the worst case the BJP's seat count may not fall below 85 seats whereas there is no cap on seats on the upside. Bookies will offer only 85 paise on every rupee bet for BJP winning 85 seats.
Lower the odds, higher are the chances of a win.
A couple of months ago most bets were on a close contest. The bookies gave BJP lead NDA and Nitish Kumar around 110 each. But, the punters now favour a clear majority for the NDA, giving it around 135 seats, JDU 40-42, RJD 33-35 and relegating Congress to single digits.
"Anti-incumbency is strongly against JDU, while people of Bihar have still not forgotten the poor state of law during RJD's tenure," said a bookie. Betting turnover in Bihar elections is expected to cross Rs 10,000 crore.
The BJP appears to be galloping ahead in Bihar polls like the bulls. Bookies say in the worst case the BJP's seat count may not fall below 85 seats whereas there is no cap on seats on the upside. Bookies will offer only 85 paise on every rupee bet for BJP winning 85 seats.
Lower the odds, higher are the chances of a win.
A couple of months ago most bets were on a close contest. The bookies gave BJP lead NDA and Nitish Kumar around 110 each. But, the punters now favour a clear majority for the NDA, giving it around 135 seats, JDU 40-42, RJD 33-35 and relegating Congress to single digits.
- CA Kasliwal Ambar
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